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What is the untreated stroke risk of treatment-induced atrial fibrillation aka Afib? I was diagnosed with chemotherapy-induced cardiomyopathy more than 15 years after administration of known cardiotoxic chemotherapy regimens for the treatment of multiple myeloma.
So this information is important to me.
Anyone suffering from treatment-induced cardiovascular disease, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, etc. should read the article below and ask themselves if the medications that their cardiologists have been prescribing for them for years, are based on the same sort of “evidence-based” evidence that John M. Mandrola, MD, author of the article below, is talking about when he writes about the stroke risk from AF.
I ask people to question their heart medications for the simple reason that I have managed my
all with evidence-based NON-conventional therapies. I have been getting an annual echo to track all of my heart metrics. And these annual echos tell me that all of my challenges are stable.
Do you have treatment-induced atrial fibrillation? Email me at David.PeopleBeatingCancer@gmail.com with questions.
Thank you,
One of the most interesting trends in modern cardiology is the reversal of dogmas. Routine beta-blockers after myocardial infarction may no longer be needed despite being established practice for years.
The net benefit of oral anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) may be another area of reversal. Central to this may be new knowledge about untreated stroke risk in patients with AF.
There is growing evidence that the risk for stroke in patients with untreated AF is declining. And that the risk is a lot lower than predicted by the widely accepted CHA2DS2–VASc score. Recall that the use of anticoagulation (with warfarin) in patients with AF was established in trials conducted more than 30 years ago…
Despite mean CHA2DS2VASc scores of 4 in enrolled patients, stroke rates in the placebo arms of these trials were approximately 1% per year. That’s 75% less than what the CHA2DS2VASc score predicts…
One explanation for this discrepancy is that short-duration AF (1-3 hours) detected on a monitor is a different entity from symptomatic AF confirmed on a standard ECG. Both involve fibrillatory activity of the atrium but the former (subclinical AF) clearly confers a lower stroke risk than the latter (clinical AF)…
In patients with heart failure due to reduced ejection fraction, sudden arrhythmic death has declined over time as medical therapy has improved. Why couldn’t stroke risk in AF follow a similar pattern given better management of risk factors, improved air quality, et cetera?
A recent study using data from the Finnish national registry suggests exactly that…
There were three main findings:
Although the study was carefully done, it was observational and retrospective. We should be cautious in its interpretation.
Yet its main strength is that these real-world data comport with those of recent trials, which also show unexpectedly low stroke rates.
These observations don’t tell us who or who not to treat with oral anticoagulation. Those are individual decisions that require judgement and alignment with a patient’s values. The Finnish observations suggest that one reason the placebo group stroke rates in recent trials were far lower than predicted by risk scores is because the population stroke risk is lower…
Taken together, this evidence should reinvigorate our skepticism about knowing stroke rates in untreated AF. I write “reinvigorate” because we should have always been humble about stroke prediction in patients with AF.
We widely accept guideline recommendations and quality measures regarding risk-based oral anticoagulation. In doing so, CHA2DS2-VASc has morphed into something akin to mathematical truth…
Finally, the most important conclusion to make is that the evidence that guides practice should have an expiration date. In addition to studying new therapies, we should also study old therapies and dogmas. As technology advances, base rates of bad outcomes of disease change. This surely affects net benefit. We need to have the humility to accept equipoise and do new trials…
treatment-induced atrial fibrillation treatment-induced atrial fibrillation treatment-induced atrial fibrillation